͹ҤɰԨ¹ǧ 2565-2570
  AREA ŧ Ѻ 361/2565: ѹʺշ 12 Ҥ 2565

ŧ: . ⪤
иҹ ٹԨлԹѧѾ
.ਹ ൷ Ϳ sopon@area.co.th https://www.facebook.com/dr.sopon4

            ͹ҤͧɰԨ¹ǧҧ ҴټšشͧͧعԹҧȡѹҵʹǧ 2565-2570 ɰԨ¨ҧúҧ੾ººѹ¹лӹҨš

            ѹ 20 ¹ 2565 ͧعԹҧ (International Monetary Fund IMF) ͡§ҹʶҹóɰԨ World Economic Outlook ֧äҴóɰԨ´  Ѻ繼š֡ҷʹҡ ҨлѺҧ㹷ҧЧѡѹҧɰԨ Ҩͧŧع㹵ҧ͡Ш¤§ҧ

            ҡشͧ IMF ѵҡԭԺ⵷ҧɰԨͧ㹻 2565 3.3% ҹ ӡҤ¹еŧѹѺ 8 ѵҡԺ٧§ 2 ҴҨѵҡԺ 3.2% §Ѻ ¹١ִӹҨɰԨشմ ФҴ㹻 2565 Ժ§ 1.6% 㹢з 2564 Ժ⵵Դź֧ -17.9% ҡԺҧç㹪ǧ͹˹ҡִӹҨ

            ;Ԩó´о ȷѵҡԺ٧شͿԻԹ 6.5% Ҵ´ 6.0% ѹѺ 2 ǹѹѺ 3 5.8% Ҵ 5.6% Թⴹ 5.4% ٪ 5.1% ԧ 4.0%

            1. ȷЪҪҵԵǵӡ (ҡ) ѵҡԺ٧· Ҩ繿ԻԹ ´ ԹⴹС٪ ʶҹóѧҧ ȷҡҨ᫧͹Ҥѹ

            2. 觡ҹ鹻ȷ¡ ԧ ѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨ٧蹡ѹ ͧҧҧ¡ѺȷѲ᫧˹ ͡ʷжҧҧ͡ա͹Ҥ

            3. ȷ㹢йѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨӡ ¹ ҧѵҡԭԺ⵷ҧɰԨ٧ ҡö俤٧ҡչԴԹҧ ѧաâµǢͧçҧ鹰ҹҡҹ ʹԹ ҡ¹䢻ѭҷҧͧ 礧Ժҡա ¡Ҩ١ “ô鹤” ͹Ҥա蹡ѹ

            觡ҹ㹡äҴóԺ⵷ҧɰԨͧ㹻 2566-2570 IMF ҴóɰԨ㹻 2566 Ժ٧ 4.3% Ժ٧ѹѺ 6 ᷹ѹѺ 8 㹻 2565 ҧá㹻 2567-2570 ɰԨ¹Ҩ˴ŧ㹡ͧ IMF ԺŴŧ 3.8% 㹻 2567 3.3%  3.2%   3.1% 㹪ǧ 2568-2570 ӴѺ 㹢зɰԨͧ ѧԺҧͧºѺ ùʴһѧʺ㹡þѲɰԨҷ

            ºѺӹҨҧɰԨо㹻 2565 ɰԨͧչԺ⵶֧ 4.4%  ǹԹ Ժ⵶֧ 8.2% Ѱԡ ѧѵҡԺ⵷ 3.7% ٧· ¡鹭蹷ɰԨԺ§  2.4% ҹ  㹪ǧ 2566-2570 ɰԨͧչ੾Թ¡ѧԺ٧ա 5 駹¡ѰԡЭ蹷ɰԨҨеŧ㹪ǧ 5 բҧ˹  ҹɰԨͧѰԡբҴ˭ҡ  Ժ§硹 ѡҾͧ蹡ѹ

            ѧѺ ѧԴ-19 㹻 2565 ѧʴҷ ШԺ§ 3.3% 㹻 2565 ҹ ҡѺԺѹѺ 8 ͧ¹ ѧӡҨչ ԹѰԡ (¡鹭蹷ѧ)  ɰԨ¨дբ鹺ҧ㹻 2566 ¹ҨԺ 4.3% 駹 2560 繵 ѧѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨ֧дѺ  㹻 2567-70 ɰԨ¨Ф Ŵŧ ҡ 3.8% 㹻 2567 3.1% 㹻 2570

            㹻 2570 ЪҪҵԵǢͧºѺҧ 繴ѧ:

            ԧ              595%   ʴҪԧ 6 Ңͧ

                             335%   ʴҪǺ 3 ɢͧ

                        156%   ʴҪҡҤ¶֧ 56%

                               100%

            Թⴹ            73%   ʴҪԹⴹҳͧͧ

            ´              69%   ʴҪ´ͧͧͧ

            ԻԹ             52%   ʴҪǿԻԹ§˹觢ͧͧ

                                 42%   ʴҪͺ (42%) ͧͧ

            ٪                28%   ʴҪǡ٪§˹ͧͧ

            ¹             22%   ʴҪ¹§˹Ңͧͧ

            Ѱԡ      324%   ʴҪԡѹ 3 ҵǢͧ

                             210%   ʴҪǭҡҤ 1 ҵ

            չ                    110%   ʴҤչҡҤ 10%

            Թ                 44%   ʴҪԹͺ (44%) ͧͧ

 

            ÷ɰԨѧǷ “ͧ” Ẻǡⴴ ٪ ԻԹ ´ Թⴹ Ҩҹ᫧㹴ҹЪҪҵԵ͹Ҥ 觷ŧعҡҧȶ١觪ԧ»ҡ  ŧعҹѧѾ礧Ժҧҡ ¡鹡þѲç÷  ǹѧѾԧҳԪ Ҥӹѡҹ ٹä ç 礧Ժѵ٧

            ѺȤӤѭͧ¤Թⴹ´ ҡ㹪ǧѧ 2570 繵 ѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨ 3.5% ͻ ԹⴹѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨ 6% ´ѵҡԺ⵷ҧɰԨ 6.5% ͻ о㹻 2583 ͧȨЪҪҵԵҡѺ  ͡ʷȷͧբҴЪҡҡ ᫧˹ Ҩ “” ͹Ҥ

 

ҨáԨѲҷ¨ԺǹѧѾ ѧջѨźӤѭҡ ҡҧ٧ҡ ҳ 10-15% 㹻 2565 ФҴѵҴ͡¤ҧѴਹ ͡ʡþѲҷ¡Ŵŧ蹡ѹ áԨѲҷ㹻 2566-2570 Ҩ˴ŧǡѺáԨ 㹻  ô֧ٴŧعҡҧȨ֧ӤѭѰŵͧҷҧ 駹繵ͧ “ªҵ” ҧԧ 觢իѧѾͧҧҵ 35%-40%

            ҧͧ͡ѡŧع Ҩͧŧع㹵ҧ Թⴹ ´пԻԹҧ 繡áШ¤§ ҧš 繡ҧùաС˹

 


ŧ:
. ⪤ (sopon@area.co.th) иҹ ٹԨлԹѧѾ . ਹ ൷ Ϳ AREA (www.area.co.th): ͧ÷հҹѧѾҤʹҴ˭شлѺاѹ·ش㹻 дԹ红ŵͧҵ ..2537 ٹŷդ繡ҧҧԪҡ зҧԪҪվ ١ͺ¼ǹǹ Ҫԡͧٹ Ѻŷ First-hand information ǡѹ

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